Wednesday – 1/30/19 – 5:58 a.m. - Is it a yacht, racehorse, perhaps a performer? Nope. In the face of an official Winter Storm Warning, “windy sunshine” is one weather celebrity’s giddy forecast played on a loop throughout the day on Tuesday. What it means time will only tell but all isobars relative to the Cape scream flake news as local weather preachers remain persistent in the attempt to replace Rhode Island with Chicago. A busy board includes the off again/on again Storm Warning, the increasingly all too common High Wind Warning and for those thinking about cutting the shrink wrap off the center console early this year, we have the illusive Heavy Freezing Spray Warning up. Such as the last round, the Chicago winds look to slide off the coast well north of our locale though the bottom of the high/low temperature range weighs in at 10 - -4 degrees to kick off the Thursday commute. As always, should conditions deteriorate, I will most certainly circle back but for now its winter.
Sunday – 1/20/19 – 11:11 a.m. - In the eye of the beast, we’re at 55 degrees under cloudy skies with a break in the rain; a tailor-made Sunday for anyone leaning towards watching football rather than leaning on rake burning leaves. At the front end of the season, there are plenty of days left for Mother Nature to punch us in the nose but today isn’t one of them. For those of you in any proximity of significant weather, be safe.
Saturday – 1/1919 – 2:55 p.m. - Where to begin. We have planes skidding off runways in Chicago, a state of emergency declared in PA and outlets breathlessly claiming “over 100 million threatened…” In our little hamlet, we’re looking at full slate of rain scheduled for Sunday. Current temperatures in the low 30’s will climb throughout the day and continue the trend into Sunday looking to peak at 50 degrees by high noon. Showers are forecasted to taper off early Sunday evening as then scheduled temperature of 40 degrees continues to fall settling in the middle teens to open Monday. I understand there are considerable snowfall projections throughout New England and the NW portion of the state but all indications lean towards the always fickle ocean effects working in our favor this go around. As always, the 2 cents coming out of this portal are designed to convey actual conditions and I will do just that mid-day Sunday. I have picked up several inquiries over the past couple of hours prompting my reaching out sooner than later. As constituted, if tomorrow happened to be in the middle of July the only glaring concern would be deciding whether or not it makes sense to lay out a blanket and stake a claim ahead of a Firebirds game.
Friday – 11/16/18 – 4:44 a.m. - For anyone flipping through the channels this morning and perhaps glimpsing the montage of slow motion fender benders in various locals, particularly as we close in on the end of yet another High Wind Warning window which expires at 9 a.m., I wanted to assure everyone that the outage board is as clean as the ground.
Saturday – 10/27/18 – 5:16 p.m. - The wind picked up a bit mid-afternoon yet failed to hit that diminish considerably bench mark. At 3:50, the High Wind window was pushed from 5 to 7 p.m. though every radar confirms the naked eye's perception as our rain day is finding its way off shore. As the diminished wind and precipitation deliver their last gasps, we are being downgraded to Wind Advisory status leaving me more than comfortable calling this round while saving the Spam, batteries and commentary for another day; until then.
Saturday – 10/27/18 – 10:12 a.m. - Rather than drag out the suspense I figured I’d reach out between a batch of crepes and retrieving the trash can at the end of the driveway on this otherwise gloomy Saturday in October. The rain kicked in around 6 a.m. and has since ranged from moderate to a drizzle while wind gusts thus far are topping out in the area of 30 mph. There are no outages on the board and in terms of conditions overall, we have yet to see anything that would compel me to reach out save for the dozens of warnings issued over that past 24 hours. Unless conditions diminish considerably, I will plan on extending proof of life at the 5 p.m. all clear mark.
Friday – 10/26/18 – 1:34 p.m. - Historically speaking we are usually able to grind through the candy corn hangover before the first notable batch of off season weather rolls in but it would appear as though Mother Nature is leaning towards the trick side of the street this go around. While many are reflexively crying Nor’ Easter, Saturday promises wind out of the east and a complimentary soaker. A High Wind Watch is in effect and sustained easterly winds look to hover around the 25-35 mph with gusts upwards of 60 mph. This High Wind Watch runs from mid-morning through late afternoon Saturday. It should be noted that a Storm Warning is also in effect and this is ominous moniker is a fancy way of saying High Wind Watch conditions will also exist over Cape Cod Bay i.e. water. Should we glimpse these conditions, scattered power outages will be all but a certainty though temperatures will range from the upper 40’s to lower 50’s throughout Saturday and climbing steadily into Saturday evening. I will circle back around noon Saturday.
Friday – 10/12/18 – 1:18 p.m. - And we’re out of the woods. In meteorological terms, I would classify this event under Meh. The rain, now a fine mist, was moderate since daybreak and perhaps the strongest gusts of wind were recorded at the lips of various weather celebrities; but of course we’ll take it.
Friday – 10/12/18 – 5:41 a.m. - A flood advisory is up which runs through late morning as a vastly diminished Michael begrudgingly finds his way to the coast. Depending on where you look, a short window of rain is expected to produce upwards of 1” per hour while others admonish viewers for having never gotten around to becoming SCUBA certified. At its peak, sustained winds look to hover in the low to mid 20 mph range with gusts upwards of 40 mph. Conditions look to taper off quickly around noon while late afternoon looks to be a steady diet of sunshine and lollipops. I will of course follow up and confirm.
Thursday – 8/9/18 – 1:08 p.m. - Almost exclusively, contributions to this outlet are based on tamping down sensationalized weather projections. Today I’ll opine over the event that couldn’t afford advertising. A severe thunderstorm warning popped up out of the blue around 8:30 this morning in regards to a system that was crossing the bay menacing only Wellfleet, Truro and P-Town. At the close of the warning window, the prophets began extending the window by 15 minutes every 16 minutes. Around noon, someone in the brain center threw up their hands and made the arbitrary decision that chaos would subside around 1:45. Immediately, upon release, the sun broke for a bit and the thunder subsided. We now bounce back and forth between pockets of torrential rain and the tease of brighter skies. Byproducts of what some are considering to have been a 6 inch per hour pace at the height of the “fast moving event,” include scattered power outages, nuisance limb damage, a few genuine trees down, a number of car accidents and of course localized flooding. Around 11:30 the entire outfield of Eldridge Park was rolling in whitecaps while Canadian Geese contemplated issuing a marine advisory. I’ve picked up scattered calls in regards to roof leaks and a bit of water in basements as I myself have experienced both. With the tremendous volume of water in such a short period of time, water will find its way into otherwise issue free areas, particularly around roof penetrations, chimney flashing and gutters. While we’re seemingly pulling through the other side, I would suggest anyone here pondering a trip into town in anything smaller than a Mini Cooper double check the integrity of his or her periscope. Unoccupied and active customers will of course be checked though purely precautionary as it appears as though there is still time for some peek-a-boo sun and oppressive heat before day’s end. Something for everyone!
Thursday – 3/22/18 – 5:57 a.m. - As rain and moderate winds take their time moving on this morning, we’re closing the books on this one.
Tuesday – 3/21/18 – 3:57 p.m. - Seven hours in and Chicken Little could be in sensible shoes and still have dry ankles. A very light mix leaning toward rain kicked in around noon and persists on light winds. You can barely hear the paper bag expanding and contracting as the weather prophets are now promising, through even if not disappointed breaths, “a breezy afternoon.” That said, there’s still plenty of time on the clock for some weather drama but for now, the meteorological credibility of a super model is outpacing both the US and Euro versions. Unless or until we realize a notable uptick in conditions, I will plan on closing this chapter at first light.
Tuesday – 3/20/18 – 6:38 a.m. - High Wind Watch 8 a.m. Wednesday – 8 a.m. Thursday Storm Warning 11 a.m. Wednesday – 5 a.m. Thursday Winter Storm Watch 8 a.m. Wednesday – 8 a.m. Thursday Coastal Flood Watch 12 a.m. Thursday – 6 a.m. Thursday On the back-end of a three-day run with temperatures in the mid 20’s, Spring looks to celebrate with a 10-degree explosion as lows in the mid 30’s and highs in the lower 40’s appears to be the norm for the foreseeable future. Wednesday promises precipitation in some form or fashion and depending on your preference, there’s an opinion for everyone if you simply look hard enough. The cool kids are calling for 4” – 6” of snow. Less than 24 hours ago, MEMA, Massachusetts Excitement Machine Analysis forecasts 1. Plowable snow; 2. Strong winds [45 – 55 mph] and 3. Coastal flood impacts immediately following the statement “Still uncertainty on details, but…” I’ll poke my head out the window tomorrow and remove all doubt.
Thursday – 3/15/18 – 5:14 p.m. - With just under 500 outages on the board, I'm aware of three in the flock contributing to the count and those were being attended to by power crews just a few hours ago. That said, there are a handful of properties checked at the front end of the first round of follow ups that I'd like to confirm in the morning but we're closing out a peach of a day where blue skies and an almost obnoxious sun competed for the spotlight amidst temperatures in the lower 40's. If you turned on a backpack blower, lawnmower and blew an occasion horn with your eyes closed, you'd be hard pressed to tell which day it was between Memorial and Columbus Day. Late Friday and early Saturday promise temperatures in the low to mid 20's before highs and lows each head north of the freezing mark for several days. For the superstitious type, particularly those allergic to odd numbers, I give you storm #4 setting up for a Tuesday/Wednesday arrival. Anyone claiming to have all the details on this round, five days out, should certainly head down to your local convenient store and load up on Powerball tickets though the professional prophets are forecasting lows in the low to mid 30's with a 70% likelihood of precipitation in the form of snow. Stay tuned...
Thursday – 3/15/18 – 5:57 a.m. - About 2 hours after Eversource issued a notice bracing consumers with a warning to dig in until Friday evening, power began to pop up here and there. This morning, all but a thumb aid in delivering this transmission and outages are now being measured in hundreds. As moderate temperatures remain on tap, I will plan on a blanket statement at the end of the day in regards to outages. As mentioned, the culprit this go around, save for the garden variety downed line, was an issue with a transformer which is essentially the hub that services Harwich to P-Town. We picked up a dusting to an inch overnight as we remain a tick north of the freezing mark and aim to find the low 40’s today. Until late afternoon where I should have a better idea of what round 4 looks as it appears ready to welcome the first day of Spring.
Monday – 3/12/18 – 3:32 p.m. - …The Winter Storm watch as been replaced by a Blizzard Warning and joins it’s sibling Warnings Storm and Coastal Flood. Our neck of the woods looks to see a change over just before dawn on Tuesday where several hours of heavy snow, projected in terms of inches per hour, look to contribute to forecasted totals in the area of 12” – 18” which look to dissipate late Tuesday evening. Brevity Nuts: The winds won’t be as bad as the last storm and we should pick up about a foot of heavy snow. Some areas may drift with the strong winds so when neighbors claim 3’ – 4’, drifting would be the culprit. I will circle back late Tuesday morning with a heads up but this is an all-day event. While we look to flirt with the freezing mark, there is no immediate danger of freeze ups even with a sustained outage. As mentioned, a strong showing of repair reserves stuck around from the last round but again, conditions look to prohibit any human interaction until late tomorrow afternoon.
Thursday – 3/8/18 – 5:21 a.m. - ...fake news...all is well. The timing for a potential third round is up in the air as it may conflict with daylight savings.
Wednesday – 3/7/18 – 3:18 p.m. - …little change in the timeline as winds in the low 30 mph range and potential gusts upwards of 55 look to peak around 9 p.m. with the High Wind Warning window closing at 1 a.m. Thursday. While we may catch a glimpse of a wet squall as we hit the overnight low, every indicator points to a rain only affair. Unless Mother Nature has something bigger instore, I will circle back at first light.
Tuesday – 3/6/18 – 4:53 p.m. - As we bask in the wash of a long-anticipated sunshine, round 2 kicks off with a High Wind and Storm Warning with a Coastal Flood Advisory thrown in for kicks that begins tomorrow at 1 p.m. and runs through 1 a.m. Thursday. With gusts anticipated to range in the area of 50 – 60 mph, a large majority of the backup crews, from as far away as Canada, will be taking in the local sites and attractions until this second wave unfolds. While a wet, heavy snow is anticipated with this kinder, gentler Nor Easter, that mess looks to stay west of the bridge as we are slated to stick with a steady dose of mixed precipitation which looks to wrap up on Thursday. I will touch base with the above-mentioned owners first thing tomorrow and circle back at the end of the day with an update on the next wave while encouraging everyone to pay no attention to #3 which is being to get legs.
Monday – 3/5/18 – 2:21 p.m. - A week ago today’s winds would prompt most to look under houses for curly shoes but after the weekend I’m not sure they’d motivate the most hardened stunt kite enthusiast to get off the couch. Currently, Chatham and Eastham lead the Cape in terms of outages and not unlike Orleans, to a lesser degree, each have actually gone up throughout the day indicative of the before mentioned cause and effect that comes with isolated repairs impacting otherwise unrelated properties. Throughout the day every effort has been made to either email or text each individual owner upon confirmation of the restoration of power and while a handful are awaiting a second look, yet to realize restoration and for a scant half dozen that remain inaccessible, what I’ve seen since Saturday, in conjunction with continued favorable temperatures, has thus far left me with all the calm of a Calgon commercial. The remaining few yet to be verified will be checked routinely as the typical schedule is already in motion. For those who simply can’t get enough, it would appear as though a second round is currently taking shape and looking to make an appearance on Wednesday. Stay tuned…
Sunday – 3/4/18 – 11:31 p.m. - Having just regained power and internet access myself, this particular storm saw an all but unprecedented number of updates that were send via Constant Contact from a mobile application and were not able to be copied here which is otherwise standard. To avoid missing future updates as a result of this issue, please click "Subscribe to Weather Bulletins" in order to assure timely updates. Sincere apologizes for any inconvenience.
Friday – 3/2/18 – 1:31 p.m. - We’ve seen a steady diet of rain since sun up while winds have picked up in the last couple of hours. In addition to a traditional Nor’ Easter, this go around brings with it astronomical tides which have prompted the closing of access to bayside beaches as well as Rock Harbor. White caps in town cove are matched by the marsh areas on Bridge, Herring Brook and Samoset. The power outage maps are flickering to life with a couple dozen on the board and while low temperatures are slated to remain north of the freezing mark as far as the eye can see, follow ups will begin tomorrow. With that said, we’ve seen these wind conditions twice this winter [and today, having stowed a number of seasonal items that found their way outdoors after the annual one day of atypical spring like weather a few weeks back, it is in fact still winter]. I appreciate the heads up from the adventure seekers who have made the trek to the Cape this week as it streamlines the follow up process. I will plan on offering proof of life in the morning.
Thursday – 3/1/18 – 5:32 a.m. - A High Wind Warning is posted from 10 a.m. Friday – 10 a.m. Saturday. High Wind Warnings are issued when sustained winds in excess of 40 mph are expected to torment yard gnomes and loose items for one hour or more. Gusts are projected to touch 75 mph and peak Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Temperatures are fixed with lows in the mid 30’s and highs north of 45 for the next calendar week lifting the threat of freeze ups which should take the edge off isolated outages that would typically accompany these forecasted winds. I will circle back late Friday.
Friday – 1/5/18 – 6:23 a.m. - With a hard-earned dusting of accumulation on the ground, winds have diminished as temperatures, currently 21, look to plateau in the mid-teens in a matter of hours. Wind chills will continue to fall as the present 7-degree mark will fall to subzero by day’s end at which time a Chill Advisory will begin and run through 10 a.m. Sunday where subzero projections are expected to settle in between -10 and -25 degrees. There are no applicable outages on the board among the 198 posted for the Cape in its entirety. The first of the week promises a high of 40 degrees with seasonable highs and lows throughout the week. Follow ups will begin in a matter of minutes among scores of school buses as there are no closings or delays for the area. I am comfortable closing the book on this round and will address any isolated findings directly and as needed.
Thursday – 1/4/18 – 4:03 p.m. - If you recall Christmas day then back out in-laws and invoices, I give you the gist of the day thus far. Winds persist amongst hit and miss spitting rain as the current temperature, 36, promises to begin its descent while the first glimpse of snow is scheduled for the 5 p.m. hour. Any snowfall looks to wrap up by midnight where temperatures, then in the mid 20’s, look to settle into the teens by daybreak. Unless you’re in P-Town where nearly all paying customers were off the grid for a spell, outages are notably lower [currently 65] when compared to the 25th. That said, follow ups will begin on the heels of a morning update.
Thursday – 1/4/18 – 7:43 a.m. - We have the old standbys to include, monster, brutal, roar, hammer, batter, explode and cripple, that keep people glued to the TV and fingernails down to the quick. It’s as shameful weather editor’s disappointment when a storm doesn’t live up to the hype and there is no teetering cottage on a bluff to run on a loop. Last year the giddy purveyors of the latest apocalypse of the day, in a moment of sheer genius, gave us the cone of uncertainty, that technical cover our *** if we get it wrong phrase veiled in an assumed scientific explanation. The new year brings us the bomb cyclone. I started this “conditions” link years ago in order to spread timely and accurate information in an efficient manner and I am now convinced more than ever that I will never be able to spin up an update without my trusty neck brace worn to counter my constant head shaking when listening to otherwise grown humans, paid to convey weather patterns, speak of wind and snow as if a meteor was plummeting to earth. With that said, our little island in the Atlantic, subject to nasty weather, started Thursday off as advertised, with moderate rainfall and an air temperature hovering around 41 degrees pushed about by increasing winds. Amidst the fearmongering, two outlets have confirmed that the last two weeks of weather represent the coldest streak this scratch of land has seen in the past 100 [one hundred] years. Wind and rain look to increase through early afternoon as temperatures drop and a change to snow develops. Current snow totals, entirely predicated on the changeover line, are now 4” – 6”. Not unlike Christmas day, the winds will blow, scattered outages are likely and no doubt most lawns will be adorned with nuisance debris and branches. Heading into the weekend, temperatures look to hover in the low teens before returning to the mid 30’s to start off the week. Stay tuned.
Wednesday – 1/4/18 – 2:47 p.m. - I've received a notably number of messages today expressing concern for impending cold weather and felt compelled to knock down some flake news apparently being disseminated across the fruited plain. In or around the time that first slice of fruitcake was begrudgingly eaten at Christmas dinner to spare Aunt Millie's feelings, we've been consistently wrapped in subzero to single digit temperatures when considering wind chills. I would dare say that it is the longest and lowest stretch of cold weather I can recall. Currently, temperatures are now flirting with the freezing mark as song birds frolic against the back drop of blue skies painted by wispy clouds. Depending on which convoluted country's weather model you review, temperatures forecasted to touch 40 look to start Thursday off with a round of rain that promises to convert to snow as temperatures fall back to the teens and perhaps single numbers heading into Friday. While I certainly don't want to minimize the storm nor do I wish to rain on the parade of the chattering weather skulls who are no doubt eagerly picking out and tethering themselves to their personal broadcast ground zeros, I do wish to reiterate that save for snow, what is coming is what we've dealt with for the past week.
Wednesday – 1/3/18 – 5:39 a.m. - Conserve those stocking stuffers. A blizzard warning has been posted and runs from 1 a.m. Thursday – 1 a.m. Friday. After a week of single and flashes of double digit temps with wind chills dipping into subzero status, it appears as though we’re in for a very brief thaw as temperatures are forecasted to climb into the upper 30’s by early Thursday morning. This radical shift is no doubt a big contributing factor as to why snowfall projections are currently in the area of 7” – 14”. Thursday evening finds us at the top of the bipolar polar vortex rollercoaster when temperatures will abruptly retreat to the teens heading into the weekend. In order to ratchet up the hysteria, weather celebrities are promoting not only a Blizzard Warning but also a Storm Warning. A Blizzard Warning is predicated on wind speed while snow is falling and/or on the ground creating the snow globe effect. The criteria consist of sustained or frequent wind gusts exceeding 35 mph and in this case, occasional gusts upwards of 70 mph are expected. Save for snow, these conditions are no different than the sea breeze that passed through on Christmas day. Three before mentioned “creative plumbing” issues have been detected since the deep freeze began and in each case, the issue revolved around unknown and uninsulated piping in knee walls and crawl spaces. In two cases, owners were in place and never lost power. Having run through everyone at least twice, I’m nowhere near ready to load the Xanax in the Pez Dispenser. Oil: As mentioned over the years, automatic delivery, almost exclusively, means that oil providers will make deliveries based on historical usage. Needless to say, a week of sustain temperatures struggling to break the mid-teens, as well as homes occupied over the holidays, will bend the historical curve. With an unprecedented 3-4 day delivery backlog, I have been contacting owners directly when tanks reach ½ rather than the typical ¼ mark. I will plan on circling back tomorrow afternoon as details tighten up.
Tuesday – 12/26/17 – 5:39 p.m. - Squinting against the sun through the crack in the storm cellar hatch, today didn’t seem nearly as bad as yesterday sounded. A mid-morning radio report noted that “over a dozen trees were reported as having fallen Cape wide yesterday.” This assessment lines up with far more accuracy than yesterday’s multiple third party reports where the term “microburst” was used more than since one actually occurred in 2005. Not to be outdone, a multi translated report through the local soccer mom network stated that a portion of structural steel had ripped from the Sagamore Bridge making travel an uncertain proposition. Today, the most recent version is that traffic was diverted to the Bourne Bridge when a light posted fell across the travel lanes. There are some nuisance limbs down here and there and no doubt a few that probably need one more round of weather to shake loose but thus far and in spite of many a flashing clocks, only one no heat issue has been discovered and in this case the situation predates any weather related issue. By the very nature of the route, I’ve noted a couple limbs down in the driveways of two January starts. In addition to these isolated issues, I will double back directly to anyone impacted going forward.
Monday – 12/25/17 – 10:34 a.m. - Mother Nature waited just long enough to land on the naughty list as our high wind warning status that began around 7 a.m. has been extended from 4 to 10 p.m. this evening. Scores of power outages trigger the season's first round of no fee storm follow ups as current temps in the mid to upper 30's fall into the lower 20's by Tuesday morning where they look to remain until next year. Winds have diminished notably since the paper began flying earlier in the day.
Thursday – 11/9/17 – 7:39 p.m. - A freeze warning is in effect from 7 p.m. Friday through 8 a.m. Saturday. In addition, a wind advisory, sustained winds of 31-39 mph with gusts in the range of 46-57 mph, runs from 4 a.m. through 6 p.m. Friday. Temperatures in the teens and 20’s are on tap heading into Saturday where the seemingly bi-polar vortex begins the climb to the mid to upper 40’s heading into Sunday though anyone hoarding cranberry commodities should feel compelled to sell.
Monday – 10/30/17 – 6:26 a.m. - Just a quick heads up on the heels of substantial wind and rain moving through overnight. While numbers are still being batted around regarding who might claim the lion’s share of the damaging gusts, we are experiencing 40 outages at the present contrasted with the Upper Cape, if not the 95 corridor, where totals are tallied in the thousands and the school closed/delay ticker seems to intimate that its anything but 64 degrees out. We appear to have a lull in the weather through mid-day where a round of 50 mph gusts are projected. Unless conditions deteriorate or the light of day reveals a new perspective, this transmission shall be our one and only PSA.
Wednesday – 9/20/17 – 12:22 p.m. - While the Tropical Storm Warning remains on the board until 7:15 p.m. and the Flash Flood expires at 7:00 p.m., thus far I wouldn’t consider conditions near a Nor’ Easter even in all lower case letters with a foot of snow on the ground. Heading into last evening, Maria stepped in front of the spotlight and Jose has since garnered as much attention as a fourth variation of the Frozen theme at an elementary school talent show and for seemingly good reason. Currently, an otherwise steady diet of rain throughout the day has given way to mist, fog and nominal winds. Independent of Jose’s promotion, we have yet to realize conditions that would have otherwise prompted a heads up from my end. While the seas have all the bedside manner of my septic vendor, here on lands its business as usual. With that said, and the realization that the cone of uncertainty is no longer exclusive to what you might get on the season ending day at the Sundae School, I’m reasonably confident that we are in a state of what you see is what you get and with that, unless or until conditions deteriorate in the coming hours, I will close the chapter on Jose with this transmission.
Tuesday – 9/19/17- 12:36 p.m. - The battening of hatches is on the end run under cloudy skies with a rather pleasant breeze pushing around hit and miss showers. The Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect and a Flash Flood Watch has joined the party and will be in up for 24 hours beginning this evening at 6 p.m. where early speculation leans toward 2” – 4” of total rainfall as Jose looks to slide past Nantucket approximately 125 miles south. I will plan on a final follow up mid-day tomorrow unless of course conditions worsen in the interim but on its face Jose is shaping up to mimic a traditional Nor’ Easter. Looking further south, the spaghetti models for Maria and Lee look as though Jackson Pollock fell down a flight of stairs with a tray of paints. While much too soon to speculate on this round, it looks like a long season heading into November and I would humbly suggest that with all the sporadic comings and goings this time of year, taking a couple steps on the way out the door such as tying off the grill, storing the umbrella and flipping tables may be time well spent.
Monday – 9/18/17 – 12:18 p.m. - A Tropical Storm Warning has been posted and the big change here is timing which is to say that conditions will most likely occur within a 36-hour window verses the 48-hour window which defines the typical Watch. Not unlike the week 1 Patriots run game, the latest track shows our being bumped on the edge before a reverse in course takes place. Beyond that, little has changed in regards to the balance of details as sustained winds upwards of 40 mph are expected with gusts currently projected to blow in the 55-mph range. The effort to stow potential UFO’s is an ongoing one and I would like to clarify that this process/supporting service, is a quick and dirty proactive one. I have received a couple of very detailed storage protocols that lean more toward something you might overhear Captain Stubing relaying to Gopher on the Lido deck rather than what may occur on our little scratch of land. I will circle back mid-day Tuesday.
Sunday – 9/17/17 – 6:47 p.m. - It should be less of a surprise to know that a Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect. These conditions are all but identical to a typical Nor’ Easter though not always as agreeable when it comes to shoveling. One similar attribute is that the conditions are speculated to occur within 48 hours the initial heads up. I’ve been filing and fulfilling requests for most of the day in regards to herding, chairs, grills and the occasional yard gnome and again, if anyone has any concerns, letting me know sooner rather than waiting on your local weather editor to start breathing into a paper bag is best. Locals would suggest that it’s going to get wicked windy and while I don’t suspect we’ll have too many professional weather scouts standing on jetties compelling mere mortals to stay indoors, if there’s anything I can do from a proactive position it would certainly dovetail with my passion for drama free days.
Sunday – 9/17/17 – 10:48 a.m. - It should be little secret that I have long considered that meteorology in and of itself resides in a cone of uncertainty; a guessing game further hampered in these parts by fickle jet streams as well as ocean and bay effects. Among the many roles I play, breaking out Tarot cards and matching wits with any number of weather models is not one of them. Ahead of what, if anything, the outskirts of Jose may have to offer, I wanted to reach out and make sure that anyone with known hatches that may be in need of battening end up on my radar sooner than later. As advertised, Jose may bend some branches but in terms of wind speed, even a tropical storm force breeze tops out at a maximum sustained 39 mph; a number not foreign to these parts in a garden variety winter. With that said, if anyone has any concerns, particularly regarding any loose outdoor items, please let me know at your earliest convenience.
Wednesday – 9/6/17 – 2:17 p.m. - In retrospect, I probably would have kept this one under my hat and waited to see how things developed before breaking out the ink well but again, given the last round and a handful of inquiries, I wanted to keep everyone in the know. Up until noon we had an epic battle between sun and clouds and shortly thereafter it was all but dusk and calm to the extent that you could have walked around outside with a lit candle. Thus far, the weather track is straddling the elbow of the Cape and focusing its attention on the mid and upper Cape and picking up the tip having moved across the bay with a bit of steam behind it. Beyond a couple sporadic bursts of heavy rain and the passing rumble of thunder, we’re currently in the eye of a fantastic napping afternoon. Recent reports show Flood Warnings in the mid and outer Cape areas over the next two hours and going forward, there is a trail of hit or miss pockets of heavy rain that look to continue on a NE track. Comparatively speaking, so far, we’re grinding through a bad beach day and unless or until conditions become noteworthy, we’ll close the book with this transmission.
Tuesday – 9/5/17 – 4:16 p.m. - Though hardly compelled to start gathering animals two-by-two such as a few weeks back but I, like many, have received the dreaded Flash Flood Watch memo. While I always launch a yarn whenever a watch or warning of any shape or size is issued, the flash flood rarely made the cut but rather disappeared into obscurity like a side of seasonal vegetables flanked by a lobster and great cut of beef. In an area where a flock of seagulls colliding with a tidal moon will most often trigger a Flood Watch, I understand, having spent a few days straight soaking wet courtesy of the last round in the pursuit of tending my flock, that water is front of mind. A Flash Flood Watch simply means that conditions may pool their resources and create a flash flood. I've been on a Powerball Winner Watch for several years now. Thunderstorms, garden variety as well as the scattered version, are on tap for most of the 24-hour watch window which runs from Wednesday at 6 a.m. through Thursday at 6 a.m.... Going back as far as a month, this event would have ended up on the cutting room floor if acknowledged at all but again, I understand that Mother Nature has been busy the past couple of weeks and after a few inquiries, it only seemed right to kick off the conditions link early this season. While no doubt a wait and see affair, if you agree to wait, I'll let everyone know what I see.
Sunday – 3/19/17 – 8:11 a.m. - The winds are blowing but in terms of snow, there is little doubt that a bit of flake news is in play as nary a patch exists. There are a handful of outages in Wellfleet and for those doomsday voyeurs, there are in fact several hours left on the High Wind Warning window though I’m beginning to wonder whether the weather syndicate is on a seasonal quota schedule. As always, I don’t write the music, I just play in the band. Until next time.
Sunday – 3/19/17 – 10:12 a.m. - As I may have mentioned once or twice over the years, the Indian Rain Dance never failed because they never stopped dancing until it rained and with that, I give you the same forecast yet pushed out until 2 a.m. Monday. We have a light to moderate snow falling that is barely providing a coating and as I’m halfway through saying goodbye to a dozen 9 year old girls on the backend of a birthday/slumber party, I can assure everyone that there is no property that I cannot access. The prophets are claiming that our end of the island is on tap for the bulk of what is assumed to arrive and presently that appears to be 5” – 6” of heavy snow by early evening under the guise of a Winter Advisory. The Winter Storm has morphed into a Gale and the Wind Warning stands although adjusted to end at 2 a.m…. Should heavy snow and wind finally get together and kick off outages, our present temperatures in the middle 30’s look to climb into the low 40’s and hold steady through late Monday night when the slow decline begins. I’ll send a follow up early evening but thus far scrubbing Taylor Swift from my consciousness is far more of a concern than what Mother Nature has going on.
Saturday – 3/18/17 – 8:44 a.m. - Three maybes are on tap for the balance of the weekend beginning with a loose commitment to a Winter Storm coming in the form of a Watch which goes into effect at 8 p.m. this evening and runs through 8 p.m. Sunday. Given our proximity to the ocean, we can drop the Winter and exchange mph for knots and take note of the resulting Storm Watch with a window of 2 a.m. Sunday through 8 p.m. Sunday evening. Swirling around all this speculation is a High Wind Watch which kicks off at 5 a.m. Sunday and closing out along with its cohorts at 8 p.m. Sunday. Despite all these bells and flashing lights, temperatures look to hover in the mid to upper 30’s with a 5% chance of precipitation through early morning Sunday when a rain/snow mix begins around dawn. The highest probability/guess of precipitation is scheduled to begin mid-morning at which time we’ll see what the Magic Eight Ball and dash of reality has to say.
Tuesday – 3/14/17 – 6:02 p.m. - I’ve yet to hear the official gust number from the little guy that gets on the ladder in the middle of the runway in Hyannis for maximum effect but it did blow pretty good shortly after 3 p.m. and began breaking up just before 5. In its wake, some lights flickered and the current board shows 71 outages which will kick off follow ups. The current temperature is 46 and looks to fall to the freezing mark early tomorrow morning.
Tuesday – 3/14/17 – 10:51 a.m. - …fickle mistress indeed. We’ve seen the winds pick up over the past couple of hours and what began as sleet with a few drops of precipitation straining in vain to turn into flakes has become a steady diet of rain which looks to persist as temperatures look to remain in the mid to upper 30’s. Wind remains the unknown and primary issue though the upside is that the before mentioned rain has liberated limbs and lines from any lingering snow from our previous dusting. The snow/rain line is moving toward the bridge with all the speed of Memorial Day traffic and for these parts, most weather editors have ceased breathing into paper bags and feathered back storm crisis staffs to 6 person skeleton crews while focusing their resources on rocking boats moored in south shore harbors. Ours is a wind issue and with that there is always the potential for power outages though forecasted gusts are no greater than any other calamity we’ve endured this season. I will circle back early evening on the back side of the expiring myriad of warnings, watches and newcomer, “pre-weather alert.”
Monday – 3/13/17 – 2:03 p.m. - No doubt everyone has seen the fire sales on powder milk and Saltines given tomorrow’s weather. Currently, we have a High Wind warning in effect from 8 a.m. – 6 p.m. Tuesday with winds ranging from 30 – 40 mph with gusts projected to be upwards of 70 mph. By extension, a Coastal Flood Warning is posted and in effect from 11 a.m. – 3 p.m. Tuesday dovetailing with the tides. A Winter Storm Watch is also in effect in conjunction with a Storm Warning. By pulling “winter” out of the equation, the Storm Warning, laden with projections in terms of knots, speaks to conditions over the water while a Winter Storm Watch speaks primarily to what is happening on land where most of us are. In either event, more individual watches and warnings can only help ratchet up the hysteria as we wait on a final determination regarding the looming sun burn index. While wind is always an issue, current tracks show the lion’s share of snow curling onshore south of our coordinates and dumping larger deposits of snow further inland. The popular consensus shows 4” – 8” of snow falling ahead of a change over to rain late Tuesday afternoon the latter of which is supported by forecasted temperatures ranging in the mid to upper 30’s. That said, the ocean effect variable is always a fickle mistress teeing this round up as a genuine wait and see storm; and we will do just that with a follow up mid-day Tuesday.
Friday – 3/10/17 – 6:48 p.m. - Save for my unwavering commitment to responding to any Warning, I’m not so certain this round would have made the cut otherwise as a rather uneventful 7” of snow has fallen throughout the day settling in typical Norman Rockwell fashion. Scattered flurries look to phase out mid evening as temperatures drop off to lows in the single digits for the balance of the weekend. Magic Eight balls are leaning toward a substantial storm moving in on Tuesday though in terms of timing we’re speaking in dog years so we’ll see how that sets up on Monday if at all.
Friday – 3/9/17 – 6:02 a.m. - Regardless of which way your celebrity rodent or mollusk may have leaned in regards to the alleged end of Winter, it won’t be tomorrow. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 1 a.m. to 4 p.m. Friday. As ominous as that may sound, the framework for warning status assumes snow accumulations of 6” of snow within 12 hours or 8” within 24”. The current crystal ball shows the bulk of heavy snow falling around the morning commute and tapering off towards afternoon. Within the 14-hour window, wind speeds look to remain in the single digits while temperatures hold steady in the low 30’s. Reading ahead, the weekend promises temperatures that struggle to get out of the teens as winds pick up making the pending warning window the pick of the three day stretch. Unless the actual conditions go off script, I will plan on a follow up at the end of business Friday.
Monday – 2/13/17 – 3:57 p.m. - Sentiment confirmed. We’ve seen flurries and swirling snow throughout the day and while winds are gusting, perhaps strongest in the last hour, they simply haven’t delivered as advertised although a High Wind Warning remains in place until 7 p.m... That said, I’m comfortable closing the book on this round as we wrap up the end run of a just another snow storm. Until next time…
Monday – 2/13/17 – 6:33 a.m. - If it were 1820 I would tell you that the today’s inclement weather is right on top of us but now we call that area Maine. Currently we have intermittent spitting snow as a wind advisory is in effect throughout the balance of the day. Bands of heavy ocean effect are expected to be hit or miss heading into this afternoon though overall totals are leaning towards 1” – 3” by day’s end. While a sloppy day to be certain, all signs are pointing to just that. It’s business as usual across the board and I will plan on confirming that sentiment mid-afternoon.
Sunday – 2/12/17 – 2:26 p.m. - For those that heard the local grumblings, the good news is that today’s rain and mild temperatures have all but done away with the deplorable road conditions on Main St, particularly on the E Orleans side of the tracks. As the few that weathered the last round might attest, anyone having the nerve to drive faster than 10 mph was left to feel as though they were in the lead wagon of the Oklahoma land rush where the driver was promised an extra half acre for every rock and rut hit along the way. No sooner had a lost a filling and determined to start a Go Fund Me page or take point on a bake sale so that the town’s assumed plow force might upgrade from the assumed Prius Wagon with two plastic Christmas Tree Shop snow shovels duct taped to the front bumper, I was informed that, inexplicably, the roads were never treated ahead of the last bout of weather. Moving on… We are currently under a Blizzard Watch and the shift to a warning looks to be based on when the transition to snow occurs and how long it may last. To satisfy Blizzard conditions, Mother Nature needs to produce considerable falling and/or blowing snow with sustained winds or frequent gusts over 35 mph with visibility below a quarter mile for at least three hours. There is no shortage of wind in the forecast as the highest projections currently call for 30 – 40 mph winds with gusts touching the mid 60’s though alternate sources carve about 10 mph of either end of that range. On the snow front, we’re on the short end of the stick where anywhere from 1” – 3” to 4” – 6” is expected. Current temperatures in the upper 30’s are slated to actually climb into the low 40s by midnight before returning to the middle 30’s by morning where converging fronts look to create wind chills in the upper 20’s that should prompt the transition to snow. Despite less snow bending boughs and suspect boughs having been cleared out by Thursday’s storm, sporadic outages may still be in the cards though temperatures on the back end of tomorrow’s winds are forecasted to be more forgiving should any outages occur. In addition, the wind window runs from 5 a.m. through 7 p.m.; coupled with diminished snow totals, power crews should find conditions far more favorable this go around. Until tomorrow…
Saturday – 2/11/17 – 9:46 a.m. - …and we’re back. A Winter Storm Watch has been issued and begins Sunday morning at 7 a.m. and runs through 7 p.m. Monday evening. Not unlike the first round, we look to begin with temperatures in the mid to upper 30’s along with a steady diet of rain heading into Monday when winds from Thursday’s playbook, 25 – 35 mph gusting upwards of 50 – 55, look to qualify the area as having reached blizzard conditions. Current projections pin the changeover to snow to Monday morning where anywhere from 4” – 8” of total accumulation is expected. With all the makings of our most recent bout of weather, I’m inclined to keep the spam and powdered milk in the storm cellar and plan on rebooting gizmos and gadgets on Tuesday but with first things being first, I will post an update early tomorrow evening should conditions change.
Friday – 2/10/17 – 6:52 a.m. - The sun did in fact show up this morning and is working feverishly to convince kids that the bus will also be making an appearance. Storm follow ups will continue as we’re down to a handful of collective/overall outages on the lower Cape. Current temperatures in the teens look to climb into the mid 20’s with wind chills registering as half as much. Milder temperatures and a round of rain should clean the slate over the weekend as Monday promises another round of snowfall. Any issues encountered going forward will be addressed directly though nothing left of center is expected. I appreciate everyone’s patience and will certainly stay on top of the sequel as it unfolds.
Thursday – 2/9/17 – 7:36 p.m. - The heaviest winds tapered off notably shortly after 5 p.m. and the system moved off shore shortly thereafter though winds look to continue to blow in the mid 25 – 30 mph range over the next several hours with gusts in the low to mid 40’s. In terms of snow totals, I would be comfortable saying 7” – 9” of heavy snow which has contributed to significant power outages on the upper and mid Cape while albeit comparatively smaller numbers in our area which will of course trigger storm follow ups in spite of the board showing zero outages. I have received two direct reports from Nauset Management customers regarding known outages and those properties will be addressed this evening. I will follow up periodically as any additions to the outage board and/or specific houses are cleared so that we might settle in for the next round on Sunday. Last, 774-216-1718 is the emergency line which is a simple call and answer flip phone affair which sends text messages into a black hole. If anyone has general outage information or a garden variety inquiry, please email, call or text 774-353-8668.
Thursday – 2/9/17 – 12:17 p.m. - Although Chicken Little has taken on more of a Paddington Bear persona since the Warning window kicked off at 9 a.m., winds have begun to kick up as a steady rain is falling. Armed with pocket defibrillators and paper bags, heads of extreme weather centers are still imploring millions to hide in bathtubs and hold kids back a year rather than return to school this year as we are assured to be pounded, battered, crushed and hammered by a Monster and newcomer to the weather cliché manifesto, Winter Whiplash the latter of which had me perplexed most of the morning until an increasing neck pain attributed to my constant head shaking revealed the assumed meaning. The current temperature is 39 and falling with the bulk of precipitation now looking to arrive late this afternoon – early evening when the otherwise fast moving system remains poised to deposit “inches of snow per hour.” Speculation still swirls around 14” of accumulation; a total which has already be dealt with this year. That said, several sources adhering to this total are also proclaiming this storm to be “the worst we’ve seen since 2015” which some might recall was way back when we were trying to manipulate rabbit ears with a roll of economy tin foil in order to catch the back end of a Bruins game on channel 38. While there is little doubt that the wind will in fact blow and snow will eventually arrive, they will do so under conditions that are no stranger to the area. Given the timing of the revised storm peak, I will plan on a follow up around 8 p.m.
Wednesday – 2/8/17 – 5:01 p.m. - ...and what could be cooler than a Winter Storm Warning? A Blizzard Warning. The threshold for blizzard conditions include suspected and frequent gusts of 35 mph and by extension and in conjunction with considerable falling and blowing snow. Along with the 10-mph median wind adjustment, a gutsy additional 2” snowfall projection turning 6” - 12” to 8” - 14” is on tap. In native terms, it looks like it may snow and blow wicked hahd. While we’ll certainly know when it gets here, the last round called for 22” and left about half as much. In several cases, this was a tough sell to some as various plow contractors looking to manufacture business as well as a few neighbors armed with time and a phone between the blinds produced pictures that appeared as though various houses were perched on the summit of Everest. In virtually each case, the conditions were a byproduct of drifting and/or plow berms. In many instances, it is quite common to walk from knee deep to a dusting of snow in a matter of steps during swirling winds. While I take great pleasure in tamping down the shameful hysteria often conjured up, increasingly so in no small part to naming every puff of wind, by the weather editors, this outlet is designed to convey actual conditions and you will always be in the know whether I'm knee deep in it or under my bed. Tomorrow morning may in fact begin with rain which looks to change over around 9 a.m. with peak conditions, 2” - 3” per hour, occurring mid to late afternoon. Again, if anyone is on Cape or looking to make a run for it and uses natural or propane gas, keep an eye on the exhaust. If you can't find it or won't find it, by all means call. I will circle back midafternoon as indicated earlier though I did want to make everyone aware of the adjustments.
Wednesday – 2/8/17 – 5:58 a.m. - While I call it a snow storm, a Winter Storm Warning just seems cooler and with that, we have one in effect from 6 a.m. Thursday through midnight. Current temperatures are hovering around 50 and will slowly fall throughout the day and do not appear to reach the middle 30-degree range until tomorrow morning which has some weather celebs leaning towards a mix before changing over to moderate and eventually heavy snow with winds in the 20 – 25 mph range complemented by gusts upwards of 45 – 50 mph. Temperatures look to settle into the mid 20 degree range by Thursday afternoon with wind chills flirting with single digits. Shifting these conditions from land to sea finds us under a Gale Warning from 9 a.m. Thursday through 7 a.m. Friday for you seal seekers or home owner trying to track down your painter. Virtually every parameter of this projected snow storm falls short of the last round so I don’t expect any drama. Once again, unless we have an oil truck deva in need of a clear path, please do not feel compelled to have your driveway plowed as liberating crushed shells from flower beds and replanting cobblestone aprons will surely cost more than tamping down garden variety snowfall. I will follow up midafternoon Thursday unless conditions change dramatically though it appears to be a slow start to a Cape Cod snow storm.
Tuesday – 1/24/17 – 8:48 a.m. - ...and just like that you'd be hard pressed to get a stunt kite off the ground. While the seas remain as agreeable as grocery shopping on 4th of July weekend, here on, albeit wet, land, winds have diminished to a whisper. Currently, we're enjoying a balmy 51 degrees and should see hit and miss rain at varying rates throughout the day while mild temperatures look to be on tap for the balance of the week. Zero damage, let alone evidence of strong winds, has been realized in the short sampling thus far and I do not expect any save for any growth that may have been on borrowed time. Going forward, any related issues will be addressed directly with individual owners.
Tuesday – 1/24/17 – 4:56 a.m. - Winds have picked up throughout the night and while the gust projections have been officially dialed back a tick it is indeed blowing. Peak winds and heavy rains are now scheduled to pass through at 7 a.m... A single power outage is on the board and the current temperature is 44 degrees.
Monday – 1/23/17 – 12:11 p.m. - Contrasted with the forecast, current conditions appear to be bit overblown. That said, there is nary a weather editor inclined to take the metaphorical stroll across the hall from the Extreme Weather Center to the actual weather set. In all practicality, the Warning window runs through 4 a.m. and winds have picked up a bit over the past hour. Throughout the morning we've seen intermittent showers interrupted with sporadic bursts of wet sloppy snow with temperatures in the mid 30's yet save for the issued warning, conditions thus far are not yet newsworthy.
Saturday – 1/21/2017 – 7:17 p.m. - A High Wind Warning is in effect from 9 a.m. Monday through 4 a.m. Tuesday where sustained winds of 35 - 45 mph may be outdone with gusts upwards of 65. While certainly a wait and see, anyone who may be on the Cape this weekend and have unbattoned hatches, take heed ahead of your departure. Temperatures look to fluctuate between the mid 30’s and 40’s throughout the warning window and into mid-week which is welcome news should forecasted winds disrupt power. I will follow up mid-day Monday regardless of which way the winds blow.
Sunday – 1/8/2017 – 8:09 a.m. - As Storm Center windbreakers go back in the closet and newsrooms send home the additional 12 personnel apparently required to discuss snowfall, so goes the first snowfall of 2017. Based on a ruler rather than the garden variety male perception of weights and measures, 12” of total accumulation appears to be most accurate consensus. The 3” – 4” picked up since the previous transmission was far lighter under colder conditions and should make for easier shoveling, sledding and/or watching under a current gray yet sun split sky. Until next time…
Saturday – 1/7/17 – 6:41 p.m. - Should we flip the off switch now, the plow count metric would be spot on. That said, with winds picking up, albeit slightly, it’s difficult to gauge with any certainty which end of the 6” – 8” total accumulation range we’re at. Working through the halfway point of the warning window, conditions continue to lean heavily towards the wonderland verses end of days side of the coin although mentors of weather editors continue to scramble to find hazardous conditions in perilous locations in two wheel drive vehicles while emphasizing at nauseam the need for mere mortals to stay off the roadways. There are and have been zero power outages on the board Cape wide and the winds thus far are less than advertised. The system looks to move off shore in and around the 1 a.m. mark and should the offerings remain consistent, we may top out at the 12” – 14” mark. A couple words of caution for those on Cape or in route beyond the insightful weather editor contribution “take it slow.” The first would include noting winds chills dipping to zero and perhaps a tick below as we head into Sunday morning. Second, anyone with a natural or propane fuel source should be mindful of snow drifts on or around vents. I’ll touch base in the morning in hopes of putting this one in the books.
Saturday – 1/7/17 – 10:28 a.m. - When I was a mere sprout, my grandfather, a then retired Coast Guard Chief and Chatham Harbormaster, once told me that whenever seagulls were seen inland, it meant that a storm was moving in off the water or that the dump was closed. Close to a decade ago, a pair of swans began to routinely take up residence in Town Cove prior to a notable storm. Through general observation in the day-to-day routine of my craft, one inch of snow may be assumed per truck with a plow blade parked in a liquor store lot 2-4 hours ahead of a projected snowfall. The birds have checked in and the plow count is calling for 8” despite our Winter Warning having been upgraded to a Blizzard Warning which is in effect and scheduled to expire at 3 a.m. Sunday. The plow shortfall is also in conflict with the now projected 15” – 20” of anticipated accumulation. As mentioned yesterday, the winds projections are significantly less than what we’ve seen in recent weeks making the balance of the forecast more of a nuisance or wonderland depending on how you look at your cup. I’ve received several inquiries regarding plow service and as always, never feel compelled to plow on my account. Should access be required for fuel delivery or sub contract access it will be dealt with case-by-case and in the event of any unanticipated/immediate need, I will most certainly coordinate the necessary resources. Big electric has done a remarkable job in recent years in regards to a proactive approach to pruning. In addition, the response to outages has been most improved in terms of response and timely resolution. In spite of the snow projections, the forecast and projected winds don’t necessarily point to widespread outages. That said, anyone that has received notice of an outage or low temperature alert is encouraged to email that information to me as soon as it is available. Current conditions consist of a fine snowfall pushed around by winds in the middle teens. Stay tuned.
Friday – 1/6/17 – 4:12 p.m. - A Winter Weather Watch is in effect from 7 a.m. Saturday – 4 a.m. Sunday during which time accumulations of 8” – 12,” or 12” – 16” depending where you look, of snow is expected to top the +/- 3” totals picked up earlier today. Winds look to range between 20 and 30 mph with gusts topping out at 40 as temperatures are forecasted to run between the mid 20’s and 30’s. Not to be outdone, a Gale Warning is in effect from 4 p.m. Saturday – 1 a.m. Sunday should anyone be on the Cape and planning on a discounted seal tour. That said, I would load up on Spam only if you enjoy it and not as a bunker staple; previous events in recent weeks have already prompted everyone’s hatches to be sufficiently battened and we have endured almost double the wind projections. I will plan on a mid – late morning follow up though all indications point to a good day to shelve resolutions and burn through the balance of stocking stuffers and lingering holiday indulgences.
Thursday – 1/5/17 – 5:57 a.m. - As requested, I have received a number of emails claiming reports of cameras and any other number of devices as being down in the early hours of last evening. An isolated fire in an electrical panel at the Comcast office in Orleans resulted in power being cut by design until the issue was resolved. Outages as far as Truro had been reported. The earth should be back on it axis presently and I have little doubt that grief counseling will be available for the youngsters throughout the day today. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for Friday and will be in effect from 1 a.m. – 11 a.m… Current accumulation projections range from 2” – 5” with a potential for sporadic flurries before and after the advisory window. Winds are forecasted in the 10 – 15 mph range with gusts upwards of 25 mph which should make this event the stuff of postcards and sonnets rather than a Spam and water purification tablet type system.
Thursday – 12/29/16 – 8:32 a.m. - A Wind Advisory is in effect from 7 p.m. this evening through 6 a.m. Friday while a Storm Warning is in effect from 7 p.m. this evening through noon tomorrow. A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds between 31 and 39 mph are expected with corresponding gusts between 46 & 57 mph. Leading the criteria for a Storm Warning is a change from mph to knots on the wind scale. On that score, anyone making the trek to the Cape via small water craft should either drive or stay in port until tomorrow afternoon. While the projected winds are slated to be tamer than the last round, the gust assumptions may cause scattered outages. Any precipitation should come in the form of rain as temperatures look to range from the mid 30’s to mid 40’s straight through a mostly sunny Friday afternoon. Should the prophecy stay on script, we’ll write this one off as a head’s up.
Friday – 12/16/16 – 5:56 a.m. - For anyone up and at em’ and getting a line wet ahead of this update, there is a Winter Storm Warning for Cape Cod Bay. There is little information available in regards to what happens if this system makes landfall or if its simply self-contained but this apparent mariner’s report stands until 7 a.m.. The High Wind Warning is also extended through 7 a.m... Usually by this time the most sensational wind gust is recorded in the middle of the runway at the Hyannis airport although it may be assumed that the network issued wind breakers are no match for single digit temperatures and sub-zero wind chills. That said, an unofficial report of 64 was reported out of Truro. The overnight winds blew as advertised and indeed persist and as someone that had to venture into that fray, I can attest that Jack Frost was punching rather than nipping. While there were zero reported power outages in Orleans, Eastham topped out at 255 early Thursday evening and while quickly remedied, this is where the today’s loop will start. What looked like a steady diet of rain on tap for Saturday and Sunday now appears to be kicking off with a Winter Weather Advisory which runs from 4 a.m. – noon on Saturday where 1” – 3” of snow may add a bit of nostalgia to the day for those diehard brick and mortar shoppers! I’m comfortable closing the book on this round yet will of course reach out directly should today’s appointed rounds reveal any issues.
Thursday – 12/15/16 – 5:04 p.m. - The current 22-degree mark is registering in the single digits on the feels like scale as winds are slowly building. While the 12-hour warning window remains in effect yet the projected top end gusts are now in the 40 – 58 mph range depending on where you look. If ever the prophets were right let it be now because 40 mph is a kid shaking out a blanket at the beach stacked up against 70. For the full snow globe experience, sporadic yet heavy snow squalls may reach white out conditions between 6 and 10 p.m. this evening if they occur at all. Temperatures look to bottom out in the teens by morning with wind chills forecasted in the -10 - -20-degree range. Needless to say, the potential for power outages is predicated exclusively on the extent of what the winds deliver or in Cape Cod speak, hard telling not knowing. As we wait and see I will follow up no later than first thing Friday morning and should a notable number of outages exists, no fee storm follow ups will begin immediately but let’s not put the sleigh in front of the reindeer just yet.
Thursday – 12/15/16 – 6:07 a.m. - And so it begins. If the high pressure of holiday to-do items has you feeling a bit frayed rejoice, there is a low-pressure system on the way. While current snow showers promise a dusting to an inch of accumulation this morning, a high wind warning is in effect from 5 p.m. this evening through 5 a.m. Friday where winds in the 30 – 40 mph range show a potential for gusts in the 60-70 mph range. Coupled with increasing winds throughout the day are plummeting temperatures that bottom out in the teens with wind chills touching subzero by 7 a.m. Friday. While winds diminish throughout the day on Friday, the biting cold does not appear to be as forgiving as temperatures look to find the 20-degree mark late Friday evening. I will plan on a follow up early this evening although there appears to be little wiggle room in regards to the current details and projections.
Thursday – 10/6/16 – 4:12 p.m. - Matthew’s track is now trending towards an abrupt U-turn at Wilmington. The category 1 that was squared up on our small scratch of sand earlier this week and scheduled to arrive on Sunday would have no doubt made a mess though the cat 4 that is now hours away from breaking an 11 year run of a hurricane free Florida is no doubt far more significant. For those with family, friends and/or property in the affected areas, very best wishes to you and yours.
Tuesday – 10/4/16 – 2:07 p.m. - Sunday is the current time stamp on when we should realize adverse weather in some form or fashion courtesy of Hurricane Matthew, currently moving slowly over Haiti. However uncertain tracks and timelines may be, I wanted to reach out ahead of the curve and make certain that any hatches in need of battening are taken care of. Going forward, I will plan on a follow up towards the end of the week.
Tuesday – 9/6/16 – 6:09 a.m. - While the playbook of scary terms and network windbreakers are begrudgingly returned to mothballs, the system, now 140 miles to our south, continues to breakdown and fragment showing less fortitude than the throngs of area mothers ushering kids to the bus stop for the first day of the new school year. As winds continue to diminish, high surf conditions appear to be the only remaining remnants on tap for the next 24 -36 hours so if anyone is looking for their painter or landscaper during that window, be sure to check your local beaches.
Monday – 9/5/16 – 4:48 p.m. - Winds in the mid to upper 20 mph range have made the off and on moderate rain appear a bit heavier at times and while the warning is scheduled to expire at 7:45, current conditions look to persist through later on this evening when the winds are presumed to diminish throughout the day Tuesday along with the sorely needed hit and miss showers. There have been small pockets of outages throughout the day and currently we look to be issue free. On the scientific end of the equation, two plastic Adirondack chairs stacked on my deck have maintained their original position throughout the event. I will close the weather loop Tuesday morning although all indications appear to lean towards the what we see is what we get formula.
Monday – 9/5/16 – 8:52 a.m. - A watch was upgraded to a warning last evening and in spite of remaining in warning status, the variables that prompted the change in designation have reverted back to where we started. While no doubt clear of the bipolar post tropical cyclone, the range of speculated forecasts are based on the overall reach of winds from the center of this system which remains +/- 300 miles offshore. Our current conditions are not all that different than yesterday save for the sun having been pushed out of the equation entirely. The winds remain in the 8-12 mph range and a light rain is expected shortly. The latest models show peak sustained winds in the upper 20 mph range occurring mid to late afternoon and holding steady through later on this evening where they look to diminish heading into early Tuesday.
Sunday – 9/4/16 – 02:36 p.m. - It may not deliver the end of days’ punch many had preached and yearned for yesterday but the now post tropical cyclone still sounds pretty cool. Approximately 325 miles off Ocean City MD, the system continues to track East North East before the go forward trend lends about as much clarity as a political platform. “The storm is expected to turn northeast before likely moving northward to northwestward through Monday. It's then expected to meander northeast, beginning to exit the Northeast US coast sometime Wednesday.” What has remained a constant is today having shaped up to be arguably one of the gems of 2016 to the extent that one regional weather prophet actually waxed apologetic earlier today for her contribution to the early exodus of vacationers. The sun continues to dominate the sky and winds are in the area of 8-12 mph with occasional gusts topping 15. The ENE track and an overall decreased speed of the system push the anticipated wind and rain out to early Monday morning. Sustained winds look to creep up to the 28 mph mark by dawn while previously indicated periods of “downpours” have been revised to “rain” where overall totals are now leaning towards 1”-2.” Wind gust forecasts range from 35 up to 50 mph depending on where you look and while terms such as dire and life threatening seem destine to go back into mothballs with the network affiliate windbreakers, we may see some nuisance limb damage and pockets of power issues. All requests for hatches to be battened are complete. Unless preempted by deteriorating conditions, I will plan on circling back early – mid morning Monday although all indications seem to be pointing towards that before mentioned mild Nor’ Easter model.
Saturday – 9/3/16 – 11:57 a.m. - A tropical storm watch is in effect for Cape Cod and the islands. For those new to the conditions link of Nauset Management, adverse weather conditions are ever taken lightly; however, I take immeasurable delight in tamping down the hysteria whipped up by weather editors, celebrities and even the handful of actual meteorologists still in existence. A tropical storm watch is issued when there is a reasonable chance for tropical storm winds occurring within the next 48 hours. Current projections are wildly vague in every conceivable category save for winds which are currently slated to sustain in the 20-30 mph range with gusts to 35. Not unlike a low grade N’Easter, winds in this area could certainly rearrange deck furniture but isn’t uncommon by any means. On the unknown end of the equation is careful speculation of the potential for tropical storm force winds. The criteria for this range is 58-73 mph range which will no doubt give most a jump start on pruning. Given the 48-hour window, details will develop quickly regardless of the actual outcome. Beyond wind, Sunday night throughout the day Monday look to be a complete washout. With that in mind, please touch base if you’ve left early or never made it and have loose items outdoors.
Sunday – 4/3/16 – 11:32 a.m. - They say that the Indian rain dance never failed because the Indians never stopped dancing until it rained. In that vein and on behalf of windbreaker clad weather preachers near and far, I give you an accurate forecast. Not only did the winds blow, albeit a tick south of projections, but the snow fell and for an hour or so, flakes as big as saucers swirled aimlessly appearing as if Mother Goose botched the dates on the MA State Fish and Game hunting schedule. There are no outages to report and while winds persist, to a diminishing degree, gray skies are beginning to lighten up over an inch of heavy snow.
Saturday – 4/2/16 – 3:46 p.m. - Mother Nature will be making a visit tomorrow as a high wind warning is in effect from 5 a.m. - 7 p.m.. Sustained winds in the area of 25 - 35 mph are on tap with gusts projected to top out in the 55 - 65 mph range. The current steady diet of rain looks to continue through early evening where a brief reprieve gives way to thunderstorms, due in no small part to a colder air mass colliding with political hot air, that appear to be hit or miss through sunrise. Sunday is also a wet one and although temperatures are forecasted to remain in the middle 30's, wind chills may bottom out just enough to kick up a bit of snow. Based on what I've seen over that past several hours, I'm not inclined to rule out a UV index of nine but wherever the roulette wheel decides to stop, you will be in the know mid day Sunday as the highest impacts are trending toward morning.
Monday – 3/21/16 – 9:44 a.m. - Shortly after the last transmission, the Winter Watch was upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. Rather than trot out another bulletin, in spite of this vital information, I made and executive decision to ride out the three hours of white knuckled unknown until the Warning was unceremoniously cancelled. Greeting the day were far more “yeah but[s]” and “well if[s]” among the weather celebrities, editors and the few unicorns remaining with an actual fancy book learnin’ background than there were flakes. Those light hit and miss flakes managing to survive at ground level are sharing space with large patches of exposed grass creating the look of one bad comb over. The day looks to remain wet and gray but I don’t believe it needs to be spent in the bunker.
Sunday – 3/20/16 – 9:02 a.m. - The dreaded Winter Storm Watch now begins at 5 p.m. today and runs through 11 a.m. Monday morning. Sunny skies tilt toward any number of shades of grey throughout the day while temperatures look to remain in the low to mid 30's making the now 2" - 4" projections of total accumulation somewhat suspect as a rain/sleet mix looks to flank both sides of midnight. With the chance of precipitation set at 100% by the morning commute, there's little doubt that the weather community may end up being all wet yet again this season.
Friday – 3/18/16 – 5:57 p.m. - We open Spring on Sunday with a Winter Storm Watch that the prophets are openly claiming to be wildly uncertain about perhaps based in no small part that it’s two days away and the actual system has yet to form. The wishy-washy Watch, seemingly predicated on a Magic 8 Ball, is up from mid day Sunday through Monday morning where the old reliable 4”-8” projection of total snow accumulation is being called into action. While less popular models bookend this forecast with significantly more snow on the top end and a rain/sleet mix on the bottom, I will plan on circling back Sunday morning when we should have a better indication as to whether or not those eggs slated for decoration may be better served as rationed provisions.
Friday – 3/4/16 – 4:51 p.m. - A manufactured three day weekend was foiled earlier today as motorcars somehow managed to maneuver through wet roadways while winds never found enough strength to bully the critical Evacuation Route signs dotted around the rotary. Perhaps the most accurate variable thus far is the fact that it is indeed Friday. Flurries began mid morning, transitioned into a mix and have all but vanished among the sporadic gusts now topping out in the 6 – 8 mph range. For those coming or going this weekend, fear not.
Thursday – 3/3/16 – 5:49 p.m. - The political overtones of the season have seemingly spilled into the world of weather as there is now nary a whiff of any sort of Winter Watch as advertised way back yesterday. That said, a Wind Advisory has stepped up and will be in effect until Saturday morning. The other notable change is an adjustment in forecasted snow totals which are now in the 1” – 3” range. Peak winds and any snow of substance look to move in late Friday afternoon. The Nauset School District recently issued a statement claiming that there may be an early dismissal tomorrow which any first year community access meteorologist knows is a clear sign that tomorrow is in fact Friday. I will issue a follow up in 24 hours unless conditions deteriorate ahead of time.
Wednesday – 3/2/16 – 4:42 p.m. - Due in no small part to flurries of emails and texts received in recent weeks expressing hopes that I may be enjoying the spring like weather as of late, a Winter Storm Watch is on tap for Friday. Details are forming while creative departments are no doubt already arguing over a scary and uncommon name to hang on this round. Until that important work is done, we look to be bracing for 4” - 8” of snow accumulation beginning mid day and growing in intensity into Friday evening. Winds are slated to range in the 20 – 30 mph range with gusts peaking at 50. Temperatures look to be in the neighborhood of the upper 20’s to lower 30’s and depending on which side of that scale reality decides to land, we could see a heavy wet snow. I will follow up Thursday evening with further detail.
Thursday – 2/25/16 – 12:03 p.m. - Having just conferred with the National Geological Society where it is confirmed that the earth is in fact back on its axis, I’m calling this one early. As the sun slowly retakes the skies, the moderate breeze is all but a welcoming refresher given temperatures in the low 50’s; all this while the birds are out and competing with the laughter of children… Until next time.
Thursday – 2/25/16 – 8:02 a.m. - Predawn, three wind and severe thunderstorm warnings came in each more ominous than the next promising winds upwards of 70 mph and subsequently advising those living in mobile homes to check their parachutes. These warnings leaned heavily towards "Western Barnstable County." This system, while sizable, is moving underneath us heading out to sea in a northeasterly direction and the initial assumption is that the weather editors may be referencing the West Coast maps used to revise the Cape Cod flood zones. That said, there are pockets heavy rain and gusts that jibe with the now downgraded "Wind Advisory" criteria which consists of sustained gusts in the 20-30 mph with the potential for gusts upwards of 50 mph. These hit and miss pockets are expected to loom over the area throughout the day. Whether the balance of the day proves to be a typical grey day on the Cape or I wake up in Kansas donning curly toed slippers, I will bring closure to this round with a final update end of day.
Tuesday – 2/16/16 – 4:48 p.m. - Blow Me Down - If for no other reason than to let everyone know I'm aware, a high wind warning went into effect at 1:00 p.m. and will run through 10 p.m. this evening. Winds in the 20 - 30 mph range with gusts in the area of 55 - 60 mph should peak over the next couple of hours. The upside is a current temperature of 51 degrees which assures that no one's timbers will shiver. Pockets of heavy rain and an occasional rumble of thunder are also expected and will no doubt keep those optimistic cups well north of half full.
Wednesday – 2/10/16 – 9:12 p.m. - With a number of requests to bump up heat and turn on a few lights this Friday, it can only mean one thing: the coldest day of the year is upon us. While I've been able to bull my way into driveways and down third world access roads, I don't want to create the impression that conditions are conducive to iced tea and a round of lawn darts. Any tracks by man or machine will look like Han Solo dipped in carbonite by Saturday in spite of temperatures rocketing up to the mid 20's from a floor of 5 degrees. Last year's plastic shovel warning is in full effect for Sunday as well whether it's used during the low of 12 or the projected high of 15. Winds will be in the mid 20's for both days and sporadic snow showers are fair warning that any sun will have little impact on the otherwise Ansel Adams like landscapes. If you're making the trip and have even the slightest concern about your driveway, please give me a call, text, email... Have a safe and happy Valentine's Day, Ferris Wheel Day and of course President's Day.
Tuesday – 2/9/16 – 12:53 p.m. - As follow ups continue, I wanted to let everyone know that while outages were remarkably low yesterday, due in large part to our having never satisfied the "Blizzard" criteria, outages were a memory by nightfall. From mid-day yesterday to the present, I would estimate that approximately 50% of kitchen clocks were flashing and in those cases, heat never skipped a beat as the mechanicals came back online. Sample houses: For relative newcomers and competitors alike, I have several houses that are drained and powered down in September/October and during periods of sustained outages, I will use these properties as a bench mark. As of this morning, the standing average temperature was 34 and of course the water bottle in each was 100% fluid. While 34 may seem too close for comfort, bear in mind that these properties aren't coming down from ambient temperatures of [insert your setting here] but have been cold for months. Plowing: There hasn't been a single case of hiking in as compared to the weeks of forced marches last year so as always, don't write a check to the plow guy on my account as much as it is appreciated. Going forward, I feel quite comfortable in wrapping up this round of weather in terms of subsequent dialogue. We have a couple of isolated squalls lined up for tomorrow and Thursday with the possibility of a small storm moving in over the weekend but for now we can snuff the candles and toss the leftovers. Until next time...
Monday – 2/8/16 – 3:41 p.m. - While winds remain strong, albeit diminishing, the snow has become wet enough where it cannot be picked up and blown around while any snow making its way from the top down has appeared to have taken a break. I would estimate we have about 8" on the ground and going forward, blizzard flags are down as the back end of the system while wide is tracking further inland. Snow showers are on tap through midnight as winds continue to dial back into the teens throughout the remainder of the day and evening. With the worst of the winds departing, there are zero outages in Eastham while Orleans weighs in with 1.
Monday – 2/8/16 – 10:41 a.m. - ...and now it's a steady diet of Parcheesi and left over Velveeta as we wait and see. The first flakes fell as advertised; currently we're in a snow globe effect as fine flakes are being pushed around in no particular direction while winds are beginning to pick up and are scheduled to peak by mid afternoon. Although always difficult to tally after blizzard conditions, most of those with official issue windbreakers are standing by the 8" - 12" range for total accumulation. Based on the 1" - 2" we've seen so far, it appears to be notably light than advertised which is good news if it holds. I will plan on circling back between 3 and 4 p.m.
Sunday – 2/7/16 – 4:28 p.m. - A Blizzard Warning is in effect from 4 a.m. through 7 p.m. Monday evening. Earlier forecasts showed a steady diet of snow through the witching hours on Tuesday and the upgrade to Blizzard status is really no more or less based on an adjustment with the winds which are now expected to be in the 30-40 mph range with gusts upwards of 65 mph. Both wind and snow are expected to diminish early evening on Monday with flurries persisting into Tuesday. Actual temperatures will hover around the freezing mark throughout; however, forecasted wind chill values in the mid teens assure there will be no mixing after dawn. 8" - 12" of total accumulation is expected with upwards of 18" possible in pockets particularly closer to the Upper Cape. I appreciate the heads up from those that are here or planning on making landfall as it most certainly tightens up the follow up rounds. If the forecast leans more towards fact than fiction, it probably wouldn't hurt to pull out one can of Spam. That said, we had about two months of this weather in addition to consecutive days of biting, standing temperatures so this is hardly the end of days. Stay tuned...
Saturday – 2/6/16 – 5:11 p.m. - All ye weather jinxers rejoice! A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Monday morning through Tuesday morning. Given the last round, I'm not yet compelled to rule out a UV warning but we'll play it by ear. This wait and see event calls for 4 - 7" to fall Monday into Monday evening with winds departing from a sustained 20 - 30 mph range to gust upwards of 45 on occasion. Joining the party, as a byproduct of high tide timing late Monday morning through mid-day is a coastal flood watch. I will plan on tightening up the details in 24 hours.
Saturday – 2/6/16 – 8:32 a.m. - If you forecast in the same manner as reeling off the possible side effects for the latest and greatest prescription med, you're bound to find some semblance of accuracy at some point. The final tally worked out to approximately 6" of heavy wet snow which stopped falling around 7:30 p.m. on Friday. The sun is blazing and temperatures in the upper 20's look to climb north of the freezing mark later this morning. Knowing you all the way I do, I feel quite comfortable in claiming that the results of this particular round of weather do in fact have something for everyone; its beautiful, a pain in the *@#, majestic and some may even be moved to knock out a sonnet. All in all, its a garden variety February morning on Cape Cod.
Friday – 2/5/16 – 3:44 p.m. - Like Charlie Brown kicking a football, within hours of the expiration of the Advisory, formally known as the Watch and pushed ahead 8 hours, a couple of inches of heavy wet snow fell this afternoon. The term mix is scheduled to be replaced by snow after four which will then be upgraded to heavy snow between 5 and 7 p.m. this evening before departing leaving behind temperatures in the upper 20’s that look to struggle to get into the lower 30’s throughout Saturday. Despite little wind and hardly a blockbuster, I suspect the weight in the trees will create limited and scattered outages throughout the afternoon and evening. Stay tuned…
Friday – 2/5/17 – 7:08 a.m. - With a current temperature of 41 under moderate to heavy rain, its little wonder the Winter Storm Watch has been revised to an Advisory that will remain in effect until 3 p.m. today. If you were saving anything for a rainy day, today may be a good time to break it out. The prophets remain optimistic that current conditions will deteriorate throughout the day where heavy rains are now expected to change over to a mix as temperatures drop to the low 30's into the early evening. Should conditions worsen by 5 p.m., I will post an additional follow up. That said, it appears as though the Spam and candles can keep for now.
Wednesday – 2/3/16 – 4:01 p.m. - A Winter Storm Watch is in effect beginning late Thursday evening and running through late Friday afternoon. The bipolar temperatures look to peak around 50 on Thursday and bottoming out at 30 before climbing into the upper 30’s by late day Friday. While there appears to be a 100% chance of precipitation, the 4” – 6” speculated to fall early Friday look to favor the mid to upper Cape area. That said, in meteorology terms, we are still 2 dog years away from the actual “event” which means there remains an outside chance of record breaking high temperatures. Aside from reacting to an issued watch, I understand a number of you are making the trek this way this weekend so for now, this watch leans more towards a heads up.
Sunday – 1/24/16 – 9:22 a.m. - The sun actually made an appearance this morning and if any sputtering snow found its way to the ground since the last transmission it’s hidden somewhere in the 5” – 6” of wet pan caked snow we have on the ground. As I understand it, Harwich logged in at 14 ½” and DC finds itself unable to wiggle out of its most recent cover up but here on our small scratch of land, the winds have diminished and there is little if any snow remaining in the trees. Current outages have Orleans at 21 and Eastham down to 6. As always, inadvertent outages based on line work from grid to grid may knock an otherwise powered up property off line; in short, it is not atypical for a property that never lost power to lose it after the weather has passed. The flood warning remains in effect from 10 a.m. – 2 p.m. today and of course properties in low lying and of course water front areas will see an uptick in follow ups. Given the current conditions and dwindling outages, this will be the last blanket update and any issues going forward will be addressed directly as needed.
Saturday – 1/23/16 – 10:46 p.m. - …key phrase being “…and/or blowing snow” as the actual “falling” part of the equation has taken a break or is in fact sliding off the coast just beneath us as the popular tracks suggest. Winds persist while some outlets are now projecting 12” – 18” of total snow accumulations leading me to believe that the chief meteorologist is an avid fisherman or had too many Chardonnays’ at dinner for in these parts, we appear to have picked up approximately 6” of heavy snow. Currently, Orleans is showing 155 outages while Eastham is down to 24 from approximately 1,200 earlier this evening. Follow ups will begin in the morning and with temperatures hovering in the low 30’s and winds diminishing throughout the day on Sunday; we’re in good shape time-wise.
Saturday – 1/23/16 – 4:16 p.m. - A blizzard warning has been issued and will run through 1 a.m. Sunday. Blizzard status is met when sustained or frequent wind gusts over 35 mph are expected with notable falling and/or blowing snow. In short, very little has changed save for a scarier description.